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Join date: Jul 24, 2025

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Viktoriia Rafalovych specializes in horizon scanning and risk analysis, specifically focusing on emerging threats. Her work involves proactively identifying, assessing, and understanding potential future challenges that could impact geopolitical stability, national security, or ecological systems. She evaluates their potential consequences and synthesises complex information from diverse sources.

Posts (8)

Nov 11, 20256 min
The Fourth Winter: Inside Russia's Evolving War on Ukraine's Energy
As Ukraine enters its fourth winter of full-scale war, Russia has unleashed an annihilation campaign against its energy infrastructure. Massive, coordinated strikes, including a barrage of 705 missiles and drones on October 30, 2025 , signal a new and dangerous phase of this protracted energy war. The humanitarian consequences have prompted the United Nations to issue stern warnings, but will Russia heed them? Matthias Schmale, the UN's humanitarian coordinator in Ukraine, has cautioned of a...

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Oct 23, 20257 min
Strategic Sabotage: How Hungary's Obstructionism Fuels Russia's Hybrid War and Threatens European Unity
In the face of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the European Union has embarked on a historic enlargement process, extending candidate status to Kyiv in a powerful display of geopolitical solidarity. This move is more than a strategic response; it is a reaffirmation of the EU's identity as a value-based union built on democracy and the rule of law. However, this strategic imperative has been consistently undermined from within by Hungary, which has weaponised its veto power to block...

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Oct 21, 20257 min
Code, Courage, and Crowdfunding: Inside Ukraine's Unconventional Blueprint for Victory
In addition to the ongoing support of its Western partners, Ukraine continues its daily resistance to Russian forces through the mobilisation of civil society, the public sector and volunteer initiatives. Despite the enormous challenges posed by the enemy's numerical superiority and turbulent political processes in the West, Ukraine is not only defending its sovereignty but also changing the very paradigms of modern warfare. Ukraine's resilience is not solely due to Western taxpayers and...

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